Hurricane Season 2021 Predicted To Be ‘Above Average’ Again This Year

(Photo Credit: LA Times)

It’s looking like the hurricane season for 2021 is going to be ‘above average’ again, according to AccuWeather reports.

They also predicted the same for 2020, and not only was it above average, it broke records. According to AccuWeather it produced 30 named storms, which was the most named storms on record. The US also got 12 direct strikes which was 3 more than the previous record set in 1916.

So what are the predictions for 2021.

The predictions for 2021 are also indicating above average hurricane activity. Dan Kottlowski, and his team of “tropical weather experts” believe that this year’s Atlantic hurricane season could result in 16-20 named storms. Of those storms they are only predicting seven-ten hurricanes. But only three-five are predicted to be major hurricanes.

AccuWeather’s team of tropical weather experts, led by veteran meteorologist Dan Kottlowski, predicts that the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season will result in 16-20 named storms, including seven to 10 hurricanes. Of the storms projected to reach hurricane strength, three to five are predicted to become major hurricanes (Category 3 or higher storms that have maximum sustained winds of 111 mph or greater).

Keep in mind not all of these storms hit land in the United States, but the hits could be above the 3.5 hit average.

What is considered a “normal season”

According to the AccuWeather report “a normal season is considered to have 14 storms, seven hurricanes and three major hurricanes. Last year, 13 hurricanes formed, and six of those reached the major hurricane threshold.

At this point it depends on the temperatures on the equatorial Pacific.  Currently the water is expected to shift from a La Niña status (where the water is warmer than average) to a neutral phase (where the temperature is closer to average.)

What they’re watching for is a shift back to La Niña later in the hurricane season. If that happens Kottlowski says the chances go up.

If that happens, that could certainly increase the chance that we could see more than 20 storms.”

When is the Hurricane Season?

It is normally considered to run from June 1 through the end of November.

Disney is kicking off it’s 50th Anniversary Celebration on October 1, but usually the storms seem to taper off after September.  So hopefully it won’t be an issue.

You can learn more about the predictions and why they are making them by checking out the AccuWeather article.

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